UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Nolan

Oct 31, 2026 · Las Vegas, Nevada, USA · locked Oct 30, 2026, 21:22 UTC · settled

Lightweight · Lock odds 1.82 / 2.00 · Tom Nolan won · KO/TKO

ChalkLost −$2.00
$2.00 on Renato Moicano at 1.82 · Forecast 52.4% Renato Moicano
Chalk Baseline: flat $2 on the favourite, Renato Moicano.
Coin flipWon +$2.00
$2.00 on Tom Nolan at 2.00 · Forecast 50.0% Tom Nolan
Coin flip Baseline: flat $2 on a random fighter, Tom Nolan.
MarketPass
No Bet · Forecast 52.4% Renato Moicano
Market Baseline: Forecast is the vig-free Lock probability; never Bets.

Welterweight · Lock odds 3.18 / 1.38 · Jacobe Smith won · U-DEC

ChalkWon +$0.76
$2.00 on Jacobe Smith at 1.38 · Forecast 69.7% Jacobe Smith
Chalk Baseline: flat $2 on the favourite, Jacobe Smith.
Coin flipWon +$0.76
$2.00 on Jacobe Smith at 1.38 · Forecast 50.0% Jacobe Smith
Coin flip Baseline: flat $2 on a random fighter, Jacobe Smith.
MarketPass
No Bet · Forecast 69.7% Jacobe Smith
Market Baseline: Forecast is the vig-free Lock probability; never Bets.

Flyweight · Lock odds 1.95 / 1.87 · Cody Durden won · U-DEC

ChalkWon +$1.74
$2.00 on Cody Durden at 1.87 · Forecast 51.0% Cody Durden
Chalk Baseline: flat $2 on the favourite, Cody Durden.
Coin flipWon +$1.74
$2.00 on Cody Durden at 1.87 · Forecast 50.0% Cody Durden
Coin flip Baseline: flat $2 on a random fighter, Cody Durden.
MarketPass
No Bet · Forecast 51.0% Cody Durden
Market Baseline: Forecast is the vig-free Lock probability; never Bets.

Women's Bantamweight · Lock odds 3.54 / 1.32 · Luana Santos won · U-DEC

ChalkWon +$0.64
$2.00 on Luana Santos at 1.32 · Forecast 72.8% Luana Santos
Chalk Baseline: flat $2 on the favourite, Luana Santos.
Coin flipLost −$2.00
$2.00 on Yana Santos at 3.54 · Forecast 50.0% Yana Santos
Coin flip Baseline: flat $2 on a random fighter, Yana Santos.
MarketPass
No Bet · Forecast 72.8% Luana Santos
Market Baseline: Forecast is the vig-free Lock probability; never Bets.

Welterweight · Lock odds 1.36 / 3.30 · Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani won · KO/TKO

ChalkWon +$0.72
$2.00 on Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani at 1.36 · Forecast 70.8% Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani
Chalk Baseline: flat $2 on the favourite, Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani.
Coin flipWon +$0.72
$2.00 on Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani at 1.36 · Forecast 50.0% Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani
Coin flip Baseline: flat $2 on a random fighter, Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani.
MarketPass
No Bet · Forecast 70.8% Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani
Market Baseline: Forecast is the vig-free Lock probability; never Bets.

Featherweight · Lock odds 1.46 / 2.79 · Dakota Hope won · S-DEC

ChalkLost −$2.00
$2.00 on Francis Marshall at 1.46 · Forecast 65.6% Francis Marshall
Chalk Baseline: flat $2 on the favourite, Francis Marshall.
Coin flipWon +$3.58
$2.00 on Dakota Hope at 2.79 · Forecast 50.0% Dakota Hope
Coin flip Baseline: flat $2 on a random fighter, Dakota Hope.
MarketPass
No Bet · Forecast 65.6% Francis Marshall
Market Baseline: Forecast is the vig-free Lock probability; never Bets.

Welterweight · Lock odds 1.56 / 2.47 · Rodrigo Sezinando won · KO/TKO

ChalkWon +$1.12
$2.00 on Rodrigo Sezinando at 1.56 · Forecast 61.3% Rodrigo Sezinando
Chalk Baseline: flat $2 on the favourite, Rodrigo Sezinando.
Coin flipLost −$2.00
$2.00 on Theodor Berggren at 2.47 · Forecast 50.0% Theodor Berggren
Coin flip Baseline: flat $2 on a random fighter, Theodor Berggren.
MarketPass
No Bet · Forecast 61.3% Rodrigo Sezinando
Market Baseline: Forecast is the vig-free Lock probability; never Bets.

Featherweight · Lock odds 2.23 / 1.69 · Julian Erosa won · KO/TKO

ChalkLost −$2.00
$2.00 on JeongYeong Lee at 1.69 · Forecast 57.0% JeongYeong Lee
Chalk Baseline: flat $2 on the favourite, JeongYeong Lee.
Coin flipWon +$2.46
$2.00 on Julian Erosa at 2.23 · Forecast 50.0% Julian Erosa
Coin flip Baseline: flat $2 on a random fighter, Julian Erosa.
MarketPass
No Bet · Forecast 57.0% JeongYeong Lee
Market Baseline: Forecast is the vig-free Lock probability; never Bets.

Middleweight · Lock odds 1.24 / 4.28 · Zach Reese won · U-DEC

ChalkWon +$0.48
$2.00 on Zach Reese at 1.24 · Forecast 77.5% Zach Reese
Chalk Baseline: flat $2 on the favourite, Zach Reese.
Coin flipLost −$2.00
$2.00 on Mickey Gall at 4.28 · Forecast 50.0% Mickey Gall
Coin flip Baseline: flat $2 on a random fighter, Mickey Gall.
MarketPass
No Bet · Forecast 77.5% Zach Reese
Market Baseline: Forecast is the vig-free Lock probability; never Bets.

Middleweight · Lock odds 3.55 / 1.31 · Joe Kropschot won · SUB

ChalkWon +$0.62
$2.00 on Joe Kropschot at 1.31 · Forecast 73.0% Joe Kropschot
Chalk Baseline: flat $2 on the favourite, Joe Kropschot.
Coin flipWon +$0.62
$2.00 on Joe Kropschot at 1.31 · Forecast 50.0% Joe Kropschot
Coin flip Baseline: flat $2 on a random fighter, Joe Kropschot.
MarketPass
No Bet · Forecast 73.0% Joe Kropschot
Market Baseline: Forecast is the vig-free Lock probability; never Bets.

Women's Strawweight · Lock odds 3.30 / 1.34 · Piera Rodriguez won · U-DEC

ChalkWon +$0.68
$2.00 on Piera Rodriguez at 1.34 · Forecast 71.1% Piera Rodriguez
Chalk Baseline: flat $2 on the favourite, Piera Rodriguez.
Coin flipLost −$2.00
$2.00 on Talita Alencar at 3.30 · Forecast 50.0% Talita Alencar
Coin flip Baseline: flat $2 on a random fighter, Talita Alencar.
MarketPass
No Bet · Forecast 71.1% Piera Rodriguez
Market Baseline: Forecast is the vig-free Lock probability; never Bets.

Women's Flyweight · Lock odds 1.13 / 6.05 · Lucia Szabova won · KO/TKO

ChalkWon +$0.26
$2.00 on Lucia Szabova at 1.13 · Forecast 84.3% Lucia Szabova
Chalk Baseline: flat $2 on the favourite, Lucia Szabova.
Coin flipWon +$0.26
$2.00 on Lucia Szabova at 1.13 · Forecast 50.0% Lucia Szabova
Coin flip Baseline: flat $2 on a random fighter, Lucia Szabova.
MarketPass
No Bet · Forecast 84.3% Lucia Szabova
Market Baseline: Forecast is the vig-free Lock probability; never Bets.

Every Bet settles at the Lock odds. Closing odds only measure who beat the market.